Disastrous-Vegetarianism
0xc212431ada2d8a913e002b35ca92c07b357ce009
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
20
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-399.66
Realised
$-155.90
Win rate
0%
13 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- YES
Will the price of Solana be above $80 on June 3?
200 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.40
- NO
Will the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on May 17?
183 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-2.92
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 19?
179 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.00
$-2.86
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 25?
177 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-3.36
- YES
Will the price of XRP be above $1.40 on March 27?
149 shares @ 26.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$0.00
$-40.08
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 26?
148 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$0.00
$-2.95
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on April 14?
137 shares @ 27.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2026$0.00
$-38.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 28?
129 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.81
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on January 27?
127 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-3.68
- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $0.80 and $0.90 on August 15?
110 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 15, 2026$0.00
$-2.19
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $0.80 and $0.90 on August 15?$2.34Aug 14, 16:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on July 17?$216.98Jul 17, 16:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on July 17?$213.94Jul 16, 18:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $1.10 on June 5?$94.67Jun 5, 18:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.10 on June 5?$1.72Jun 4, 19:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $80 on June 3?$1.50Jun 3, 03:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on April 1?$21.69May 30, 10:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 26?$3.15May 26, 03:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on May 23?$190.52May 23, 18:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on May 23?$2.18May 22, 18:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on May 23?$187.20May 22, 17:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $1.40 on April 18?$30.06May 22, 17:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 19?$3.06May 19, 01:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on May 17?$3.12May 16, 20:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on May 14?$206.28May 14, 19:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on May 14?$204.42May 14, 01:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill NYSE Composite (NYA) hit 17800 (LOW) in March?$68.06May 14, 01:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 10?$2.29May 10, 01:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana reach $90 March 30-April 5?$194.29May 7, 14:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on January 29?$0.00May 1, 02:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
29/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 13 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
30 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 45/100.
13 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $64.24
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 31, 05:47 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 14, 16:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 13 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.