Charming-Vibration
0xc21be9277a84523f3cc2dad3466aa4bf3efa31d1
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
33
Open notional
$1.2K
Total PnL
$-10.6K
Realised
$1.40
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 33- NO
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
1847 shares @ 67.8¢·now 62.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.2K
$-98.56
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
2000 shares @ 54.7¢·now 0.8¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$15.00
$-1.1K
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?
5435 shares @ 78.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-4.3K
- NO
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?
2252 shares @ 58.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.3K
- YES
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
1231 shares @ 65.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-800.05
- YES
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?
650 shares @ 31.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-204.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET
632 shares @ 62.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 28, 2026$0.00
$-394.56
- YES
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?
508 shares @ 59.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-300.00
- YES
Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the February decision?
500 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2026$0.00
$-60.00
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?
500 shares @ 49.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$0.00
$-248.00
Recent activity
- MAKER_REBATE$1.09Jul 19, 00:45 UTC
- REWARD$0.17Jul 19, 00:15 UTC
- REWARD$3.50Jul 19, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?$92.97Jul 18, 23:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?$121.54Jul 18, 23:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?$1.97Jul 18, 22:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?$32.16Jul 18, 22:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$22.75Jul 11, 17:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Argentina win on 2026-07-07?$208.33Jul 7, 18:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win on 2026-07-07?$101.56Jul 7, 16:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June?$2.0KJun 30, 23:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$264.00Jun 27, 18:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$235.00Jun 24, 20:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$235.00Jun 24, 17:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$469.00Jun 18, 17:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw?$121.95Jun 15, 00:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw?$100.54Jun 14, 21:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$276.00Jun 14, 21:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$497.00Jun 14, 17:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$194.82Jun 13, 17:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $139.83
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 7, 17:12 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 19, 00:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.