Frizzy-Bush
0xc228de03d22044165499cdc37c636baecbaeb6c5
Wallet digest
Activity score
83/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$307.28
Total PnL
$-1.7K
Realised
$-44.56
Win rate
71%
34 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?
5587 shares @ 9.0¢·now 5.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$307.28
$-196.61
- YES
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of February?
156591 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-243.66
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 12PM ET
16100 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-17.00
- YES
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,600 by end of February?
6701 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-55.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?
5265 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-143.56
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 1AM ET
4299 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-9.99
- YES
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,200 by end of February?
4191 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-65.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?
3333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,800 by end of February?
3189 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-90.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 4PM ET
2569 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$0.00
$-123.88
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?$198.53Jul 24, 17:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?$33.53Jul 23, 19:11 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down on July 12?$3.92Jul 11, 23:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on July 12?$1.04Jul 11, 19:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on July 12?$2.08Jul 11, 19:15 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down on July 11?$7.94Jul 11, 15:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on July 11?$3.16Jul 11, 06:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on July 11?$1.90Jul 11, 03:09 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down on July 11?$7.53Jul 11, 02:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on July 11?$1.35Jul 11, 01:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on July 11?$1.01Jul 10, 23:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on July 11?$0.88Jul 10, 23:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on July 11?$2.50Jul 10, 21:38 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down on July 11?$1.15Jul 10, 17:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on July 11?$1.04Jul 10, 16:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on July 10?$3.00Jul 10, 08:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on July 10?$3.18Jul 10, 01:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on July 10?$3.30Jul 10, 01:19 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down on July 10?$11.31Jul 9, 23:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on July 10?$10.47Jul 9, 21:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
50/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
71% win rate over 34 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 53/100.
34 closed markets, 71% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $8.37
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 6, 14:32 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 24, 17:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 34 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.