0xc22ac370182689bce1006d8a767f58050fc383c9
0xc22ac370182689bce1006d8a767f58050fc383c9
Wallet digest
Activity score
82/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$94.04
Total PnL
$-2.85
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?
26 shares @ 39.0¢·now 69.5¢·exp Aug 15, 2026$17.82
$7.82
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?
32 shares @ 31.0¢·now 38.5¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$12.42
$2.42
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 8 to August 10, 2026?
21 shares @ 48.0¢·now 58.5¢·exp Aug 10, 2026$12.19
$2.19
- NO
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 9, 2026?
13 shares @ 80.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Aug 9, 2026$11.81
$1.81
- NO
Will UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%?
19 shares @ 52.0¢·now 54.5¢·exp Aug 12, 2026$10.48
$0.48
- NO
Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from August 11 to August 18, 2026?
19 shares @ 53.0¢·now 52.5¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$9.91
$-0.09
- YES
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or more in July?
15 shares @ 67.0¢·now 61.0¢·exp Aug 12, 2026$9.10
$-0.90
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 8 to August 10, 2026?
37 shares @ 27.0¢·now 14.5¢·exp Aug 10, 2026$5.37
$-4.63
- YES
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?
43 shares @ 23.0¢·now 6.0¢·exp Aug 15, 2026$2.61
$-7.39
- YES
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?
13 shares @ 22.0¢·now 8.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$1.06
$-1.69
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from August 11 to August 18, 2026?$10.23Aug 8, 20:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?$10.34Aug 8, 12:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces end of Iranian blockade by August 9, 2026?$10.00Aug 8, 04:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 8 to August 10, 2026?$10.26Aug 7, 20:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?$41.67Aug 7, 19:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?$14.08Aug 7, 18:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 8 to August 10, 2026?$10.36Aug 7, 00:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or more in July?$10.16Aug 6, 16:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%?$10.24Aug 6, 08:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill PPI YoY be 5.1% or less in July?$1.30Aug 6, 00:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Through the Roof" during remarks in Las Vegas?$15.63Aug 6, 00:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?$25.00Aug 5, 18:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $600 Week of August 3 2026?$0.00Aug 5, 14:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?$10.14Aug 5, 04:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026?$0.00Aug 5, 00:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?$10.00Aug 4, 20:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?$0.00Aug 4, 19:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Through the Roof" during remarks in Las Vegas?$10.14Aug 4, 12:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?$10.38Aug 4, 04:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Grab (GRAB) beat quarterly earnings?$0.00Aug 4, 00:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
27 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 52/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $7.41
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 28, 17:30 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 8, 20:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.