Vain-Shadowbox
0xc230d03c421495ec7bde14c9231bd87967d97971
Quality score
91/100
Open positions
15
Open notional
$1.6K
Total PnL
$116.19
Realised
$10.06
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
563 shares @ 60.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$562.73
$220.45
- YES
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?
332 shares @ 64.4¢·now 65.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$216.07
$1.96
- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?
175 shares @ 82.7¢·now 76.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$134.16
$-10.90
- NO
Lecornu out as French PM by June 30, 2026?
120 shares @ 83.2¢·now 94.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$113.54
$13.54
- YES
Will Fannie Mae not IPO by June 30, 2026?
114 shares @ 88.0¢·now 97.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$110.57
$10.57
- NO
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?
167 shares @ 56.0¢·now 49.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$81.71
$-11.71
- NO
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?
96 shares @ 83.0¢·now 77.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$74.65
$-5.30
- YES
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-05 House seat?
54 shares @ 92.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$50.82
$0.82
- YES
Will the Republican Party win the GA-14 House seat?
54 shares @ 92.0¢·now 92.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$50.00
$0.00
- YES
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
112 shares @ 36.5¢·now 37.9¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$42.33
$1.57
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.0014h ago
- YIELD$0.002d ago
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?$85.662d ago
- YIELD$0.003d ago
- YIELD$0.004d ago
- YIELD$0.005d ago
- YIELD$0.006d ago
- YIELD$0.007d ago
- YIELD$0.008d ago
- YIELD$0.009d ago
- YIELD$0.0110d ago
- YIELD$0.0111d ago
- YIELD$0.0012d ago
- YIELD$0.0013d ago
- YIELD$0.0014d ago
- YIELD$0.0015d ago
- YIELD$0.0016d ago
- YIELD$0.0017d ago
- YIELD$0.0018d ago
- YIELD$0.0019d ago
Score breakdown
- Trades (all time)
- 13
- Avg trade size
- $82.49
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 36d ago
- Last active
- 14h ago
Score is a 0–100 composite of open position size, breadth (number of trades), realised + unrealised ROI, win rate on closed markets, and category specialisation.