Frayed-Turtle
0xc2365e90222b3961e9894b9f1d0c42bfc6f4e8d5
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$16.92
Total PnL
$-43.97
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2026?
17 shares @ 52.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$16.92
$8.12
- NO
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
10349 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-36.10
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026?
28 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Venezuela Parlay
20 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- NO
Will Trump say "Nuclear" or "Skedaddle" during Cabinet Meeting on December 2?
15 shares @ 39.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 2, 2025$0.00
$-6.00
- NO
Nothing Ever Happens: December
4 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Polymarket US go live in 2025?$20.00Dec 5, 15:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Half-Life 3 be announced before 2026?$8.80Dec 2, 09:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Nuclear" or "Skedaddle" during Cabinet Meeting on December 2?$6.00Dec 2, 09:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Polymarket US go live in 2025?$15.10Dec 2, 09:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYVenezuela Parlay$3.00Dec 2, 09:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026?$5.00Dec 2, 09:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYNothing Ever Happens: December$2.00Dec 2, 08:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Polymarket US go live in 2025?$1.00Dec 2, 08:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 8
- Avg trade size
- $7.61
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 2, 08:55 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 5, 15:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.