Marvelous-Hydrant
0xc23bba24604cbf41aef47239b226b375fd648821
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
31
Open notional
$15.16
Total PnL
$-31.6K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 31- NO
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
2 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$2.02
$0.02
- YES
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
1 shares @ 95.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$1.05
$0.05
- YES
Over $1.1B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
1 shares @ 98.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$1.02
$0.02
- NO
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31?
1 shares @ 98.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Trump visit China by October 31?
1 shares @ 98.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$1.01
$0.01
- YES
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $4 million?
1 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in US?
1 shares @ 99.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will the Saints win the NFC Championship?
1 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$1.00
$0.01
- NO
Will Alibaba have the best AI model on October 31?
1 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$1.00
$0.00
- NO
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?
1 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$1.00
$0.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $4 million?$1.00Jan 15, 05:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$1.00Jan 4, 08:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$1.00Dec 26, 06:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?$1.00Nov 22, 08:26 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?$2.02Oct 30, 02:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $1.1B committed to the MegaETH public sale?$1.00Oct 30, 02:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?$1.00Oct 29, 02:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?$1.00Oct 28, 07:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Tron: Ares" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 36m?$1.00Oct 28, 06:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Carlos Moedas be elected Mayor of Lisbon?$1.00Oct 28, 06:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 7 to October 14, 2025?$1.00Oct 28, 06:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Shane Steichen be the next coach fired?$1.00Oct 28, 06:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Soul on Fire" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 4m?$1.00Oct 28, 06:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill annual inflation increase by 3.3% or more in September?$1.00Oct 28, 06:52 UTC
- REDEEMMeteora FDV above $10B one day after launch?$1.00Oct 28, 06:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $132,000 on October 15?$1.00Oct 28, 06:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Yoshihiko Noda be the next Prime Minister of Japan?$1.01Oct 28, 06:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill 'Honey' be the lowest ranked song from Taylor Swift’s new album on the Billboard Hot 100 for the week of October 18?$1.01Oct 28, 06:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Giannis Antetokounmpo not be traded? $1.02Oct 28, 06:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$1.00Oct 27, 07:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $1.1K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 13, 04:40 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 15, 05:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".