0xc23cd8313017ea99e468449a6c9754357a74a503
0xc23cd8313017ea99e468449a6c9754357a74a503
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
29
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-52.12
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 29- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on April 13?
755 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-0.75
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 72-73°F on April 14?
705 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2026$0.00
$-3.13
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 60-61°F on April 14?
616 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2026$0.00
$-2.94
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on April 14?
531 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2026$0.00
$-2.09
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on April 14?
492 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2026$0.00
$-2.75
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 72-73°F on April 14?
406 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.53
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on April 13?
338 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-2.03
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 64-65°F on April 13?
253 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-0.25
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 76-77°F on April 14?
250 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 64-65°F on April 14?
190 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.90
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on July 2?$8.80Jul 6, 22:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C on July 2?$0.37Jul 1, 08:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on July 2?$2.01Jul 1, 06:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C on July 2?$1.62Jul 1, 06:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on July 1?$1.08Jun 30, 12:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on July 1?$0.20Jun 30, 11:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on July 1?$0.22Jun 30, 11:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on July 1?$0.40Jun 30, 11:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on July 1?$0.08Jun 30, 11:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on July 1?$0.14Jun 30, 10:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on July 1?$0.24Jun 30, 10:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on July 1?$0.36Jun 30, 10:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on July 1?$0.36Jun 30, 10:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on July 1?$0.83Jun 30, 10:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on July 1?$0.05Jun 30, 08:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on July 1?$0.24Jun 30, 08:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on July 1?$0.25Jun 30, 08:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on July 1?$0.71Jun 30, 08:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on July 1?$0.14Jun 30, 07:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on July 1?$0.35Jun 30, 06:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 41/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $0.53
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 14, 05:50 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 6, 22:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.