Tense-Excitement
0xc23cfecbed95827f81a4bb56e0f74973bf1459db
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-14.13
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2200 on July 4?
3530 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2025$0.00
$-3.53
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $103K on July 4?
2480 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2025$0.00
$-2.48
- NO
Will PSG beat Bayern Munich in regulation time?
3 shares @ 58.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 5, 2025$0.00
$-1.83
- NO
Will global temperature increase by between 1.00-1.04ºC in June 2025?
3 shares @ 93.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-2.84
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $109K on July 4 at 5PM ET?
3 shares @ 61.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2025$0.00
$-1.59
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2500 on July 4 at 5PM ET?
2 shares @ 92.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2025$0.00
$-1.86
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the NYC Mayoral Democratic Primary be decided in round 1?$1.58Jul 20, 08:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be greater than 2%?$1.56Jul 20, 08:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill federal spending decrease by less than $250b between Q4 2024 and Q2 2025?$1.60Jul 20, 08:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill turnout be between 900000 and 1000000 in the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?$2.85Jul 20, 06:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Brad Lander’s vote share be between 6% and 9% in the first round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?$3.23Jul 20, 05:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Andrew Cuomo’s vote share be less than 35% in the first round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?$3.92Jul 20, 05:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill global temperature increase by between 0.95-0.99ºC in June 2025?$1.76Jul 19, 17:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill the next government of Suriname be NDP/NPS/ABOP?$1.83Jul 19, 17:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $109K on July 4 at 5PM ET?$3.07Jul 19, 17:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $105K and $107K on July 4?$3.12Jul 19, 17:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump issue fewer than 10 executive orders in June?$3.59Jul 19, 17:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Palmeiras beat Chelsea in regulation time?$5.17Jul 19, 17:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be less than $2500 on July 4 at 5PM ET?$5.71Jul 19, 17:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $109K on July 4 at 5PM ET?$1.30Jul 4, 18:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill global temperature increase by between 1.00-1.04ºC in June 2025?$1.70Jul 4, 18:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Palmeiras beat Chelsea in regulation time?$1.15Jul 4, 18:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill turnout be between 900000 and 1000000 in the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?$1.33Jul 4, 18:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be greater than 2%?$1.67Jul 4, 18:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $103K on July 4?$1.29Jul 4, 18:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Palmeiras beat Chelsea in regulation time?$1.64Jul 4, 18:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $1.71
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 4, 03:23 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 20, 08:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".