Extra-Large-Deliberation
0xc2431dd0d7abbc1e19a5e71b947776e39e495be9
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$29.62
Total PnL
$-23.48
Realised
$0.03
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on June 15?
23 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$23.06
$0.06
- NO
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
6 shares @ 95.1¢·now 95.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.58
$0.03
- NO
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?
1 shares @ 97.7¢·now 97.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.98
$-0.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on March 17?
2126 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-4.25
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on April 30?
2070 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-4.14
- YES
Will Solana reach $100 on April 18?
2070 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026$0.00
$-4.14
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on February 4?
1106 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026$0.00
$-11.06
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on June 15?$23.00Jun 13, 04:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $68,000 on May 31?$25.22Jun 1, 03:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $68,000 on May 31?$25.13May 30, 12:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $375 Week of May 18 2026?$25.30May 22, 22:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $375 Week of May 18 2026?$25.20May 21, 04:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Hoppers be the March film with the highest domestic gross on April 30?$4.27May 21, 04:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 9?$20.70May 21, 04:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 9?$20.61May 8, 03:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on April 30?$4.14Apr 30, 13:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on April 27?$2.1KApr 28, 06:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on April 27?$2.1KApr 27, 23:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on April 27?$2.1KApr 27, 23:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on April 27?$2.1KApr 27, 09:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $2,600 April 20-26?$2.1KApr 27, 07:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,600 April 20-26?$2.1KApr 27, 01:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on April 26?$2.1KApr 27, 01:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on April 26?$2.1KApr 26, 07:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum dip to $2,200 on April 25?$2.1KApr 26, 07:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $2,200 on April 25?$2.1KApr 26, 00:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on April 25?$2.1KApr 26, 00:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $672.12
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 2, 11:32 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 04:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.