0xc24364767192aaa4697f9b45233a22eac9a18ffa
0xc24364767192aaa4697f9b45233a22eac9a18ffa
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
36
Open notional
$4.83
Total PnL
$-307.71
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 36- YES
Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
718 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$2.51
$-3.95
- YES
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Switzerland before 2027?
84 shares @ 2.4¢·now 2.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.32
$0.32
- YES
Will SpaceX IPO by March 31, 2026?
4134 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-26.35
- NO
Will the Denver Nuggets make the NBA Playoffs?
1667 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will MrBeast hit 500 Million subscribers by March 31?
1513 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 27?
757 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?
498 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-2.99
- YES
US forces enter Iran by March 14?
455 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Crude Oil all time high by March 31?
301 shares @ 10.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-31.92
- SAN-HUI SHIN
Yokkaichi: San-Hui Shin vs Masamichi Imamura
133 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-21.30
Recent activity
- REDEEMOver $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?$0.01May 18, 00:07 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Apr 29, 00:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Everton finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?$1.13Apr 13, 22:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Everton finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?$2.30Apr 8, 01:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Everton finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?$1.48Apr 3, 07:56 UTC
- TRADESELLOver $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?$6.61Mar 29, 18:36 UTC
- REDEEMUnited States vs. Belgium: O/U 3.5$0.01Mar 29, 18:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?$0.75Mar 29, 12:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?$13.32Mar 29, 08:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?$12.64Mar 29, 07:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?$3.77Mar 29, 06:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYCredit One Charleston Open, Qualification: Darja Vidmanova vs Katarina Jokic$1.01Mar 28, 19:41 UTC
- TRADESELLUnited States vs. Belgium: O/U 3.5$16.92Mar 28, 18:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill XRP dip to $0.80 in March?$4.18Mar 28, 04:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill XRP dip to $0.80 in March?$0.88Mar 28, 02:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill XRP dip to $0.80 in March?$0.95Mar 28, 01:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYUnited States vs. Belgium: O/U 3.5$15.50Mar 27, 21:54 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Canadiens (-1.5)$5.21Mar 27, 05:02 UTC
- REDEEMNRFI: Cleveland Guardians vs. Seattle Mariners$2.17Mar 27, 05:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Burnley be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?$1.00Mar 27, 03:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
41 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 60/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $7.13
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 25, 16:58 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.