Hot-Factory
0xc2437533c448fc5456f4b86b07fd1b6d2a431f1a
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
182
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-693.27
Realised
$-2.89
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 182- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on April 13?
7613 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-9.50
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on April 13?
7610 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-11.15
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on April 12?
1900 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.90
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on April 13?
741 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-8.82
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on April 13?
533 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-7.41
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET
79 shares @ 35.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-28.27
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET
73 shares @ 10.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-7.48
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on April 12?
62 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.79
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET
61 shares @ 39.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-24.23
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET
45 shares @ 33.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-14.95
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 38°C on April 14?$3.98Apr 15, 13:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on April 13?$4.84Apr 15, 13:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 46-47°F on April 14?$4.98Apr 15, 13:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on April 13?$4.98Apr 15, 13:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on April 13?$7.95Apr 15, 13:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 25°C on April 14?$8.03Apr 15, 13:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on April 13?$11.86Apr 15, 13:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on April 13?$11.93Apr 15, 13:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 22°C on April 13?$14.92Apr 15, 13:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 12°C on April 13?$24.72Apr 15, 13:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on April 14?$1.85Apr 13, 08:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on April 13?$0.39Apr 13, 08:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on April 13?$0.68Apr 13, 08:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on April 13?$0.49Apr 13, 08:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on April 13?$0.44Apr 13, 08:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on April 13?$2.00Apr 13, 08:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on April 13?$2.00Apr 13, 08:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 12°C on April 13?$1.76Apr 13, 08:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 16°C on April 14?$1.20Apr 13, 08:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on April 14?$3.10Apr 13, 08:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $1.56
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 13, 04:13 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 15, 13:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".