Defiant-Million
0xc2503d10efe737c0e81fea8f90105c7b69cc8d6e
Wallet digest
Activity score
85/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$6.3K
Total PnL
$-478.90
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?
1000 shares @ 56.0¢·now 97.9¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$978.49
$418.50
- NO
Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in June?
1000 shares @ 74.8¢·now 94.9¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$949.00
$201.11
- NO
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in June?
642 shares @ 86.6¢·now 91.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$584.19
$28.10
- NO
Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in June?
580 shares @ 85.5¢·now 98.4¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$570.43
$74.76
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 June 15-21?
633 shares @ 83.8¢·now 86.5¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$547.42
$17.32
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in June?
700 shares @ 80.0¢·now 70.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$493.50
$-66.50
- NO
Will Ethereum dip to $1,300 in June?
366 shares @ 76.6¢·now 96.9¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$354.90
$74.33
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June?
726 shares @ 82.0¢·now 47.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$344.99
$-250.57
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
273 shares @ 82.7¢·now 89.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$245.36
$19.68
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 15?
200 shares @ 76.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$199.90
$47.90
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 15?$8.68Jun 15, 13:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 15?$112.90Jun 15, 13:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 17?$133.10Jun 15, 13:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 19?$103.07Jun 15, 13:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?$143.18Jun 15, 13:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,500 in June?$351.17Jun 15, 13:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $62,000 June 15-21?$410.14Jun 15, 13:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $62,000 June 15-21?$125.98Jun 15, 13:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,500 in June?$210.13Jun 15, 13:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 Week of June 8 2026?$0.00Jun 15, 13:01 UTC
- REDEEMUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?$0.00Jun 15, 13:01 UTC
- REDEEMKnicks vs. Spurs$0.00Jun 15, 13:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?$0.00Jun 15, 13:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?$0.00Jun 15, 13:01 UTC
- REDEEMUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$0.00Jun 15, 13:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $66,000 June 8-14?$362.94Jun 15, 06:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum dip to $1,500 June 8-14?$460.00Jun 15, 06:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $68,000 June 8-14?$150.00Jun 15, 06:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $58,000 June 8-14?$291.95Jun 15, 06:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $60,000 June 8-14?$192.00Jun 15, 06:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $146.35
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 11, 04:09 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 15, 13:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.