Medium-Pit
0xc2542c367bed3b4d6545b23e216b78050b68330b
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$5.19
Total PnL
$-64.13
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- NO
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
5 shares @ 95.8¢·now 96.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.19
$0.06
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on May 17?
2096 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-6.29
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 27?
2092 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-6.28
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 on May 14?
2087 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-4.16
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 17?
2086 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-4.17
- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on June 3?
2083 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$0.00
$-4.17
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on May 24?
2081 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$0.00
$-6.24
- YES
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 on May 19?
2079 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$0.00
$-4.16
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 on June 15?
2076 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.00
$-4.15
- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on June 13?
2067 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-4.13
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,450 on June 30?$4.11Jul 1, 02:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,400 on June 26?$4.07Jun 27, 02:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum dip to $1,400 on June 24?$2.0KJun 25, 04:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,400 on June 24?$2.0KJun 25, 02:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $1.00 on June 24?$2.0KJun 24, 16:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.00 on June 24?$2.0KJun 24, 07:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $60,000 on June 23?$2.0KJun 24, 04:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $60,000 on June 23?$2.0KJun 24, 02:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,300 and $1,400 on June 23?$2.0KJun 23, 16:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,300 and $1,400 on June 23?$2.0KJun 23, 08:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $1,800 on June 22?$2.0KJun 23, 04:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $1,800 on June 22?$2.0KJun 23, 02:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $1,800 on June 20?$2.0KJun 21, 04:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $1,800 on June 20?$2.0KJun 21, 03:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on June 20?$2.0KJun 20, 16:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on June 20?$2.0KJun 20, 06:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 17?$4.17Jun 17, 08:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $68,000 on June 15?$4.15Jun 16, 02:51 UTC
- TRADEBUY10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?$5.13Jun 14, 03:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on June 13?$4.13Jun 13, 09:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $889.34
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 14, 23:59 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 1, 02:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.