Devoted-Collision
0xc25969968619217c4ec062a474a9672b990b100f
Wallet digest
Activity score
51/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
107
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-509.12
Realised
$6.17
Win rate
53%
17 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 107- NO
US strikes Yemen by December 31?
1055 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-2.11
- NO
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- KRÜ BLAZE
Valorant: MIBR Female vs KRÜ Blaze - Map 1 Winner
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 28, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will SZA release a new song in 2025?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
US strikes Iraq by February 28?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 24?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 13?
341 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?
200 shares @ 7.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 6, 2026$0.00
$-14.35
- YES
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 30?
176 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET$95.33Mar 8, 05:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET$3.00Mar 8, 05:27 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET$8.34Mar 8, 05:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET$5.40Mar 8, 05:21 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET$5.40Mar 8, 05:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET$2.71Mar 8, 05:16 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET$11.94Mar 8, 05:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET$6.00Mar 8, 05:10 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET$86.76Mar 8, 05:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET$70.78Mar 8, 05:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET$1.00Mar 8, 05:02 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET$2.78Mar 8, 05:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET$1.08Mar 8, 04:57 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET$10.09Mar 8, 04:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET$7.49Mar 8, 04:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET$1.00Mar 8, 04:49 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET$8.49Mar 8, 04:48 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET$0.00Mar 8, 04:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET$6.71Mar 8, 04:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET$1.00Mar 8, 04:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
40/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
53% win rate over 17 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 39/100.
17 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $12.56
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 8, 02:50 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 8, 05:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 17 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.