High-Density
0xc264d13584541d1d94843e1aab27e3ac55e82560
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$5.00
Total PnL
$-1.7K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?
5 shares @ 24.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$5.00
$3.80
- WIZARDS
Mavericks vs. Wizards
7790 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 9, 2025$0.00
$-7.79
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on January 2?
7012 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 2, 2026$0.00
$-7.01
- YES
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. Olympique de Marseille end in a draw?
6154 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 26, 2025$0.00
$-1.6K
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on February 12?
3593 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 12, 2026$0.00
$-3.59
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
100 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-47.00
- YES
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
7 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.12
- YES
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?
5 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.35
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on February 12?$0.20Feb 12, 06:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$47.00Feb 12, 05:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on February 12?$3.39Feb 12, 05:44 UTC
- REWARD$1.01Jan 3, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on January 2?$5.02Jan 2, 08:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on January 2?$0.50Jan 2, 08:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on January 2?$0.50Jan 2, 08:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on January 2?$0.50Jan 2, 08:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on January 2?$0.50Jan 2, 08:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYMavericks vs. Wizards$7.79Nov 9, 03:36 UTC
- REDEEMPenguins vs. Rangers$3.9KOct 8, 05:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYPenguins vs. Rangers$1.3KOct 7, 06:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. Olympique de Marseille end in a draw?$841.17Sep 26, 08:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. Olympique de Marseille end in a draw?$758.94Sep 26, 08:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$1.12Aug 30, 11:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?$1.20Jul 3, 06:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?$1.35Jun 23, 23:12 UTC
- REDEEMArsenal wins the Premier League?$0.00May 14, 08:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Arsenal vs. Crystal Palace end in a draw?$0.00May 14, 08:16 UTC
- REDEEMNationals vs. Braves$10.0KMay 14, 08:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $572.13
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 3, 07:14 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 12, 06:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.