0xc266d6ea5ecf1d8d06b1aee286d1c7fd9c5604a1
0xc266d6ea5ecf1d8d06b1aee286d1c7fd9c5604a1
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-105.32
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- NO
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on April 13?
169 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-4.92
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on April 11?
123 shares @ 12.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$0.00
$-15.43
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on April 12?
108 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-9.74
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 16°C on April 12?
75 shares @ 6.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C or higher on April 13?
67 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-5.33
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 11°C on April 12?
27 shares @ 18.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 24°C on April 12?
22 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-4.89
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on April 12?
20 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-5.10
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C on April 12?
17 shares @ 58.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-9.95
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on April 12?
13 shares @ 39.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on April 13?$6.18Apr 17, 20:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Jakarta be 35°C on April 13?$6.32Apr 17, 20:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on April 12?$6.49Apr 17, 20:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 8°C on April 12?$7.11Apr 17, 20:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 60-61°F on April 12?$7.18Apr 17, 20:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 9°C on April 12?$7.22Apr 17, 20:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on April 12?$8.84Apr 17, 20:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 13°C on April 13?$42.01Apr 17, 20:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 13°C on April 13?$4.31Apr 13, 02:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Jakarta be 35°C on April 13?$0.25Apr 13, 02:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Jakarta be 35°C on April 13?$4.74Apr 13, 02:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C or higher on April 13?$5.33Apr 13, 02:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on April 13?$4.99Apr 13, 02:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 13°C on April 13?$0.69Apr 13, 02:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on April 13?$4.92Apr 13, 02:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 13°C on April 12?$8.00Apr 13, 02:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on April 12?$8.62Apr 13, 02:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on April 12?$14.92Apr 12, 16:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C on April 12?$4.95Apr 12, 12:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on April 12?$5.00Apr 12, 11:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
33 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 45/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $3.63
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 12, 09:44 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 17, 20:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.