Long-Term-Selfcontrol
0xc2690a551396c781b0545c9c0c6882ecbe48dc49
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
14
Open notional
$27.00
Total PnL
$-443.14
Realised
$39.31
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
200 shares @ 19.0¢·now 13.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$27.00
$-11.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by December 31, 2025?
802 shares @ 10.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-84.20
- YES
Israel strikes Iran by January 9, 2026?
446 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-20.07
- UP
XRP Up or Down - December 13, 11PM ET
260 shares @ 38.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 14, 2025$0.00
$-99.99
- UP
Solana Up or Down - December 13, 11PM ET
180 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 14, 2025$0.00
$-50.40
- YES
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
130 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-40.30
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 14, 12AM ET
101 shares @ 28.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 14, 2025$0.00
$-28.85
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 16, 4PM ET
85 shares @ 20.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 16, 2025$0.00
$-17.84
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - December 13, 8PM ET
80 shares @ 57.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 14, 2025$0.00
$-45.90
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 17, 12PM ET
60 shares @ 36.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 17, 2025$0.00
$-21.70
Recent activity
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$105.57Feb 28, 19:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$100.98Feb 28, 19:04 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$198.90Jan 15, 10:55 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?$34.24Jan 15, 10:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?$38.00Jan 9, 21:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$26.86Jan 9, 01:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?$14.00Jan 8, 23:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$18.65Jan 8, 22:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$1.15Jan 8, 22:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$26.40Jan 8, 05:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?$3.00Jan 8, 04:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Iran by January 9, 2026?$20.07Jan 8, 04:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$43.44Jan 8, 04:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$40.30Jan 8, 04:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$38.40Jan 8, 04:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?$50.70Jan 8, 04:10 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 18, 8PM ET$0.00Dec 22, 18:33 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - December 18, 7PM ET$49.95Dec 19, 01:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 18, 8PM ET$0.56Dec 19, 01:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 18, 8PM ET$2.24Dec 19, 01:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $20.52
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 18, 18:13 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 28, 19:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".