Rash-Shelter
0xc27d410f2e9bf3a28fc6f2a5672c7b2f5173a3b2
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-285.31
Realised
$-29.28
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 25% and 40% on November 12?
7369 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-90.35
- NO
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be less than 25% on November 12?
4476 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-52.75
- YES
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 40% and 60% on November 12?
3490 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-16.20
- YES
Will Doran (Choi Hyeon-joon) be named MVP in the 2025 League of Legends World Championship?
1117 shares @ 5.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 9, 2025$0.00
$-63.00
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 90 and 100 million views on week 1?
1000 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
60 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-4.80
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025?
50 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in November?
50 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?
23 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-1.03
- YES
Park Sung-jae in jail by November 15?
5 shares @ 58.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-2.90
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the government shutdown end November 12?$10.00Apr 14, 11:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill the government shutdown end November 13?$10.00Apr 14, 11:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$4.80Nov 27, 23:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025?$10.00Nov 14, 04:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 40% and 60% on November 12?$1.00Nov 12, 16:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $115,000 in November?$10.00Nov 12, 15:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 40% and 60% on November 12?$0.56Nov 12, 14:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 40% and 60% on November 12?$1.12Nov 12, 10:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 40% and 60% on November 12?$0.35Nov 12, 08:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 40% and 60% on November 12?$2.80Nov 12, 07:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 90 and 100 million views on week 1?$0.60Nov 11, 23:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 90 and 100 million views on week 1?$0.00Nov 11, 23:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 90 and 100 million views on week 1?$0.25Nov 11, 23:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 90 and 100 million views on week 1?$0.14Nov 11, 22:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 90 and 100 million views on week 1?$0.25Nov 11, 22:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 90 and 100 million views on week 1?$1.11Nov 11, 22:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 90 and 100 million views on week 1?$1.25Nov 11, 22:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 90 and 100 million views on week 1?$1.40Nov 11, 22:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the government shutdown end November 13?$3.20Nov 11, 18:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the government shutdown end November 12?$4.00Nov 11, 18:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 45/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $2.83
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 10, 14:22 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 14, 11:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.