Speedy-Blackbird
0xc281ad222df6d91ba397fb3b086130998fd6e079
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
51
Open notional
$2.6K
Total PnL
$-3.4K
Realised
$-19.39
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 51- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in July?
400 shares @ 94.8¢·now 98.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$391.80
$12.60
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in July?
400 shares @ 90.0¢·now 93.3¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$373.40
$13.40
- NO
Will Ethereum reach $2,100 in July?
300 shares @ 85.0¢·now 79.5¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$238.50
$-16.50
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
200 shares @ 94.0¢·now 99.1¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$198.10
$10.10
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 23?
200 shares @ 96.6¢·now 96.2¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$192.30
$-0.90
- YES
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 22?
100 shares @ 94.9¢·now 99.6¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$99.55
$4.65
- NO
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
100 shares @ 95.1¢·now 99.4¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$99.40
$4.30
- NO
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?
100 shares @ 96.0¢·now 99.3¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$99.25
$3.25
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 July 20-26?
100 shares @ 92.0¢·now 96.0¢·exp Jul 27, 2026$96.00
$4.00
- NO
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
100 shares @ 80.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$94.50
$14.50
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $67,000 on July 22?$200.00Jul 23, 04:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $2,000 on July 22?$100.00Jul 23, 04:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $65,000 on July 22?$100.00Jul 23, 04:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $67,000 on July 22?$193.29Jul 22, 23:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on July 23?$0.22Jul 22, 17:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on July 23?$28.16Jul 22, 17:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on July 23?$13.20Jul 22, 17:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on July 23?$13.20Jul 22, 17:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on July 23?$13.20Jul 22, 17:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on July 23?$13.20Jul 22, 17:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on July 23?$6.88Jul 22, 17:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $70,000 July 20-26?$92.52Jul 22, 17:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 23?$193.66Jul 22, 17:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $65,000 on July 22?$88.74Jul 22, 16:58 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - July 22, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET$50.00Jul 22, 16:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 22?$81.62Jul 22, 16:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 22, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET$35.25Jul 22, 16:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,800 July 20-26?$89.69Jul 22, 16:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,200 July 20-26?$6.10Jul 22, 16:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,000 on July 22?$93.46Jul 22, 16:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
33 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 58/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $68.21
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 16, 06:03 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 23, 04:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.