Possible-Application
0xc284fff14570ac36ce135b025b8100e31645912a
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$100.40
Total PnL
$-41.60
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on May 25?
100 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$100.40
$0.40
- YES
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2025-11-22?
17 shares @ 64.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$0.00
$-11.00
- YES
Will Netherlands win on 2025-11-14?
16 shares @ 63.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 14, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will SE Palmeiras vs. Fluminense FC end in a draw?
14 shares @ 79.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$0.00
$-11.00
- NO
Will Poland vs. Netherlands end in a draw?
12 shares @ 82.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 14, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $80,000 on May 25?$100.03May 25, 22:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?$113.06May 25, 22:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?$112.85Apr 23, 19:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Netflix dip to $0 in March?$112.73Apr 23, 19:13 UTC
- REWARD$0.11Mar 9, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netflix dip to $0 in March?$112.51Mar 5, 12:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum dip to $1,000 in February?$48.09Mar 5, 12:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Netflix (NFLX) close above $160 end of February?$67.92Mar 5, 12:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netflix (NFLX) close above $160 end of February?$49.42Feb 25, 03:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netflix (NFLX) close above $160 end of February?$18.34Feb 25, 03:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,000 in February?$47.90Feb 25, 03:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Lighter dip to $1.00 in January?$23.52Feb 25, 03:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in January?$35.75Feb 25, 03:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $25 by end of January?$56.40Feb 25, 03:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $25 by end of January?$56.29Jan 14, 07:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lighter dip to $1.00 in January?$22.32Jan 14, 07:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in January?$35.68Jan 14, 07:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Hyperliquid hit $70 in 2025?$37.37Jan 14, 07:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google reach $420 in December?$21.23Jan 14, 07:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google (GOOGL) hit $230 before 2026??$22.36Jan 14, 07:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $35.20
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 20, 15:38 UTC
- Last active
- May 25, 22:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".