Ajar-Smuggling
0xc28c15e5ea7f4e3d42b327b3e8baf7627c52ec2f
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.0K
Realised
$51.77
Win rate
85%
33 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on April 3?
950 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 3, 2026$0.00
$-0.95
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET
348 shares @ 16.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 25, 2026$0.00
$-57.17
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET
200 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET
111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 5, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET
106 shares @ 5.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET
105 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET
78 shares @ 72.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 5, 2026$0.00
$-55.96
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET
76 shares @ 6.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET
63 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET
59 shares @ 15.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-9.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET$2.10Jul 19, 22:12 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET$1.44Jul 19, 22:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET$1.04Jul 19, 22:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET$2.03Jul 19, 22:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET$2.03Jul 19, 22:07 UTC
- TRADESELLSpain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$5.71Jul 19, 22:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$1.53Jul 19, 21:03 UTC
- TRADESELLSpain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$1.67Jul 19, 21:02 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET$0.00Jul 19, 16:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYLionel Messi: 1+ goals + assists AND Mikel Oyarzabal: 1+ goals + assists AND Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?$0.77Jul 19, 16:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$2.06Jul 19, 16:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$2.04Jul 19, 16:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET$7.30Jul 19, 16:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET$2.10Jul 19, 16:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET$7.34Jul 19, 16:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET$7.29Jul 19, 16:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET$2.10Jul 19, 16:37 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET$3.52Jul 19, 16:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET$2.10Jul 19, 16:36 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET$9.73Jul 19, 16:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
81/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
85% win rate over 33 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 27/100.
33 closed markets, 85% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $6.23
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 19, 10:36 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 19, 22:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 33 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.