Quizzical-Semantics
0xc29425deac55ec60251c0994406a19a53e5de11c
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-998.34
Realised
$6.92
Win rate
58%
33 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 10PM ET
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET
343 shares @ 6.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$0.00
$-23.56
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET
253 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$0.00
$-3.50
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET
245 shares @ 20.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET
183 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.00
$-11.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET
161 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET
150 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET$6.19Jul 16, 15:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET$5.17Jul 16, 15:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET$1.05Jul 16, 15:06 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET$0.00Jul 16, 15:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET$1.05Jul 16, 14:51 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET$4.08Jul 16, 14:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET$5.16Jul 16, 14:45 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET$0.61Jul 16, 14:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET$1.04Jul 16, 14:43 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET$0.94Jul 16, 14:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET$1.03Jul 16, 14:42 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET$1.38Jul 16, 14:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET$1.04Jul 16, 14:41 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET$0.00Jul 16, 14:40 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET$3.85Jul 16, 14:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET$1.04Jul 16, 14:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET$1.05Jul 16, 14:36 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET$5.30Jul 16, 14:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET$5.16Jul 16, 14:35 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET$2.21Jul 16, 14:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
80/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
58% win rate over 33 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
45 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 25/100.
33 closed markets, 58% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $2.93
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 16, 13:41 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 16, 15:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 33 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.