Prudent-Foundation
0xc2a3c065c5400e5449d4e42755d35fb36b628178
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$16.03
Total PnL
$-10.50
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $3400 on July 23?
6 shares @ 77.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 23, 2025$6.36
$1.46
- NO
Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
5 shares @ 65.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$5.08
$1.78
- YES
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
5 shares @ 71.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$4.59
$1.33
- NO
Will Ap win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?
18 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 8, 2025$0.00
$-4.77
- YES
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
8 shares @ 53.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-4.45
- YES
Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin July 1-7?
7 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2025$0.00
$-2.67
- YES
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?
7 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.18
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?$3.30Aug 1, 15:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$3.26Jul 19, 07:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be greater than $3400 on July 23?$4.90Jul 19, 03:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire before August?$3.18Jul 15, 01:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?$4.45Jul 12, 11:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ap win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?$4.77Jul 12, 08:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin July 1-7?$2.67Jul 6, 17:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Thunder beat the Pacers 4-1?$2.96Jun 28, 21:48 UTC
- REDEEMUS military action against Iran before July?$7.04Jun 28, 21:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS military action against Iran before July?$2.66Jun 17, 03:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Thunder beat the Pacers 4-1?$2.01Jun 11, 13:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Boston Celtics win the 2025 NBA Finals?$0.00Jun 7, 03:19 UTC
- REDEEMNBA Playoffs: Celtics vs. Knicks (To Advance)$9.26Jun 7, 03:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYNBA Playoffs: Celtics vs. Knicks (To Advance)$4.63May 8, 11:03 UTC
- REDEEMLiverpool wins the Premier League?$1.45May 2, 21:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill USD0++ stabilize again before February?$18.05Feb 7, 03:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill USD0++ stabilize again before February?$18.03Jan 30, 13:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill someone else be inaugurated?$22.17Jan 21, 16:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill someone else be inaugurated?$22.04Jan 18, 15:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Magnus Carlsen win the 2024 World Blitz Championship?$0.00Jan 14, 20:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
35 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 56/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $4.01
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 26, 01:47 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 1, 15:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.