Dependable-Equation
0xc2a6d35919d7e2df257db7a7c7c17124edbaf8ba
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$1.61
Total PnL
$-198.69
Realised
$5.15
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- GIANLUCA CADENASSO
Cagliari: Gianluca Cadenasso vs Jesper de Jong
2 shares @ 62.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$1.61
$0.61
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on April 30?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on April 30?
1397 shares @ 5.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-75.60
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on May 1?
764 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 2, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 30?
743 shares @ 8.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-60.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on May 1?
516 shares @ 6.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 2, 2026$0.00
$-32.98
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C or higher on April 30?
477 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 30 to May 2, 2026?
21 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 2, 2026$0.00
$-2.88
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET
2 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 30 to May 2, 2026?$3.00May 1, 16:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on May 1?$3.18May 1, 16:28 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET$0.00May 1, 16:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET$2.14May 1, 15:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on May 1?$10.67May 1, 15:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on May 1?$10.70May 1, 15:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on May 1?$10.67May 1, 15:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on May 1?$10.70May 1, 15:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on May 1?$10.68May 1, 15:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET$1.03May 1, 15:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYCagliari: Gianluca Cadenasso vs Jesper de Jong$1.01May 1, 14:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 16°C on April 30?$1.05Apr 30, 12:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 16°C on April 30?$1.05Apr 30, 12:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 30?$62.76Apr 30, 12:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 30?$28.70Apr 30, 12:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 21°C on April 30?$10.49Apr 30, 11:32 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET$0.00Apr 30, 11:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET$5.35Apr 30, 11:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 30?$5.24Apr 30, 10:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 30?$10.48Apr 30, 10:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $11.61
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 30, 10:03 UTC
- Last active
- May 1, 16:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.