0xc2a7760a9feaabf9e0739c2b453c401b61a77916
0xc2a7760a9feaabf9e0739c2b453c401b61a77916
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
186
Open notional
$10.3K
Total PnL
$-3.4K
Realised
$-52.76
Win rate
40%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 186- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 10?
833 shares @ 30.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$833.00
$583.10
- PENGUINS
Penguins vs. Avalanche
570 shares @ 34.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$570.00
$376.20
- UTAH
Utah vs. Stars
457 shares @ 42.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$457.00
$265.06
- VENEZUELA
Final Stage: USA vs. Venezuela
454 shares @ 32.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 25, 2026$454.00
$306.45
- CAVALIERS
Spread: Cavaliers (-11.5)
416 shares @ 60.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 9, 2026$416.00
$166.40
- DUCKS
Ducks vs. Canadiens
393 shares @ 43.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$393.00
$224.01
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - March 18, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET
312 shares @ 33.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$312.06
$206.51
- YES
US forces enter Iran by December 31?
291 shares @ 60.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$291.00
$116.01
- YES
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
246 shares @ 27.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$246.00
$179.58
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET
238 shares @ 35.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$237.79
$153.77
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jul 21, 20:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 21, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 19, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 18, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 17, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 16, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 15, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 14, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 13, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 12, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 11, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 10, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 9, 00:21 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 8, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 7, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 6, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 5, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 4, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 3, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 2, 00:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
40/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
40% win rate over 10 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
10 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 2, 00:13 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 20:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.