0xc2afb3133464ed1c7fef7d47d8e9146b723463b4
0xc2afb3133464ed1c7fef7d47d8e9146b723463b4
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
104
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.5K
Realised
$-57.28
Win rate
0%
103 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 104- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 9AM ET
1549 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-9.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET
300 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET
279 shares @ 5.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET
167 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET
92 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-22.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET
80 shares @ 60.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-48.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET
71 shares @ 42.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 17, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET
62 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 17, 2026$0.00
$-33.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET
62 shares @ 38.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 8, 2026$0.00
$-24.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET
61 shares @ 64.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-39.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET$5.26Jul 23, 08:48 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET$5.13Jul 23, 08:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET$9.52Jul 23, 08:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET$4.10Jul 23, 08:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET$2.06Jul 23, 07:17 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET$9.33Jul 23, 06:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET$7.19Jul 23, 05:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET$5.39Jul 23, 05:23 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET$19.05Jul 23, 03:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET$12.43Jul 23, 01:47 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET$7.25Jul 23, 01:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET$5.16Jul 22, 13:46 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET$10.71Jul 22, 13:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET$9.19Jul 22, 13:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET$16.75Jul 22, 13:25 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET$25.30Jul 22, 13:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET$21.46Jul 22, 13:17 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET$19.57Jul 22, 11:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET$18.28Jul 22, 11:46 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET$18.18Jul 22, 09:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
63/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 103 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
31 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 28/100.
103 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $10.13
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 22, 05:51 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 23, 08:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 103 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.