Pricey-Retrospectivity
0xc2affd3f6beb39b6bfb8bdbecb6a7db9c44891fd
Wallet digest
Activity score
32/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-16.7K
Realised
$-11.1K
Win rate
4%
163 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 21, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET
490 shares @ 48.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 22, 2025$0.00
$-237.94
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 25, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET
392 shares @ 48.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 26, 2025$0.00
$-191.77
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 24, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET
392 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 24, 2025$0.00
$-200.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET
379 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2025$0.00
$-197.03
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 29, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET
364 shares @ 54.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 29, 2025$0.00
$-198.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 22, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET
347 shares @ 56.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 22, 2025$0.00
$-197.29
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 24, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET
346 shares @ 58.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 24, 2025$0.00
$-200.51
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 21, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET
333 shares @ 59.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 22, 2025$0.00
$-196.39
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 29, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
272 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 29, 2025$0.00
$-141.51
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 26, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET
251 shares @ 50.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 26, 2025$0.00
$-127.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 12, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET$40.34Jan 13, 00:26 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 12, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET$40.37Jan 13, 00:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 12, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET$437.14Jan 13, 00:11 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 12, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET$438.20Jan 13, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 12, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET$245.31Jan 12, 23:59 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 12, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET$245.36Jan 12, 23:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 12, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET$81.83Jan 12, 23:51 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 12, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET$81.83Jan 12, 23:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 12, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET$35.53Jan 12, 23:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 12, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET$17.75Jan 12, 23:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET$197.03Dec 30, 14:44 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 29, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET$0.00Dec 30, 14:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 29, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET$179.71Dec 29, 19:11 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - December 29, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET$1.04Dec 29, 19:10 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - December 29, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET$130.42Dec 29, 19:10 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - December 29, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET$48.25Dec 29, 19:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 29, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET$25.94Dec 29, 19:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 29, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET$100.00Dec 29, 18:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 29, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET$100.00Dec 29, 18:55 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 29, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET$3.00Dec 29, 18:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
66/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
4% win rate over 163 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 36/100.
163 closed markets, 4% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $95.70
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 29, 17:22 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 13, 00:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 163 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.