Cultivated-Leaker
0xc2b9e536a22a5a09365a30defed3ff36a8339e85
Wallet digest
Activity score
89/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$66.84
Total PnL
$6.34
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after July 2026 meeting?
36 shares @ 73.0¢·now 83.5¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$29.74
$3.74
- YES
Will the Bank of Korea increase the base rate after the July Meeting?
19 shares @ 64.6¢·now 73.0¢·exp Jul 16, 2026$14.13
$1.63
- YES
Will Warsh say "Stable" or "Stability" during June Press Conference?
12 shares @ 58.0¢·now 77.5¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$9.36
$2.35
- YES
Will Warsh say "FED" during June Press Conference?
6 shares @ 67.0¢·now 66.5¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$3.97
$-0.03
- YES
Will Warsh say "Maximum Employment" during June Press Conference?
4 shares @ 55.0¢·now 79.5¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$2.89
$0.89
- YES
Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the August 2026 meeting?
17 shares @ 29.0¢·now 16.5¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$2.84
$-2.16
- YES
Will Warsh say "Dual Mandate" during June Press Conference?
4 shares @ 54.0¢·now 53.5¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$1.98
$-0.02
- YES
Will Warsh say "Inflation" 40+ times during June Press Conference?
3 shares @ 59.0¢·now 57.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$1.93
$-0.07
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Warsh say "Stable" or "Stability" during June Press Conference?$2.11Jun 14, 02:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Warsh say "Stock" during June Press Conference?$0.86Jun 14, 02:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Warsh say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during June Press Conference?$0.84Jun 14, 02:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Warsh say "Stable" or "Stability" during June Press Conference?$2.11Jun 14, 01:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Warsh say "FED" during June Press Conference?$2.11Jun 14, 01:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Warsh say "FED" during June Press Conference?$2.11Jun 14, 01:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Warsh say "Stable" or "Stability" during June Press Conference?$1.06Jun 14, 01:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Warsh say "Stock" during June Press Conference?$1.06Jun 14, 01:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Warsh say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during June Press Conference?$1.08Jun 14, 01:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Warsh say "Maximum Employment" during June Press Conference?$2.12Jun 14, 01:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Warsh say "Stable" or "Stability" during June Press Conference?$2.11Jun 14, 01:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Warsh say "Inflation" 40+ times during June Press Conference?$1.06Jun 14, 01:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Warsh say "Inflation" 40+ times during June Press Conference?$1.06Jun 14, 01:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Warsh say "Dual Mandate" during June Press Conference?$2.12Jun 13, 05:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?$18.40Jun 12, 19:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be between $150 and $200?$11.26Jun 12, 19:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?$7.35Jun 12, 18:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?$14.17Jun 11, 19:04 UTC
- TRADESELLNo change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$14.48Jun 11, 18:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?$4.24Jun 11, 16:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $6.03
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 22, 15:47 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 02:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.