Afraid-Mariachi
0xc2ba2405fb6c1c1a0d098204c4fc3ad264ee6449
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
29
Open notional
$3.03
Total PnL
$-20.7K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 29- NO
Will Ethereum reach $4,600 in January?
2 shares @ 99.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$2.02
$0.02
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $84,000 on January 26?
1 shares @ 98.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET
4000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 19, 2025$0.00
$-2.0K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET
2400 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 19, 2025$0.00
$-1.2K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET
2400 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 18, 2025$0.00
$-1.2K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET
2000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 19, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET
2000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 19, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET
2000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 19, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET
2000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 19, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET
2000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 18, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $84,000 on January 26?$1.00Jan 26, 07:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $4,600 in January?$1.00Jan 21, 09:02 UTC
- REDEEMOver $2M committed to the Infinex public sale?$1.01Jan 15, 02:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $4,600 in January?$1.00Jan 15, 02:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 5?$1.01Jan 7, 02:24 UTC
- REDEEMOver 40,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?$1.01Jan 7, 02:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase December 2-8?$1.01Jan 7, 02:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on December 9?$1.01Jan 7, 02:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum dip to $1,300 by December 31?$1.02Jan 7, 02:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Stable launch a token in 2025?$1.02Jan 7, 02:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?$1.02Jan 7, 02:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?$3.06Jan 7, 02:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $2M committed to the Infinex public sale?$1.00Jan 7, 02:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?$1.00Dec 11, 06:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on December 9?$1.00Dec 9, 08:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase December 2-8?$1.00Dec 8, 07:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,300 by December 31?$1.00Dec 6, 08:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 5?$1.00Dec 5, 07:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver 40,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?$1.00Dec 4, 07:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Stable launch a token in 2025?$1.00Dec 3, 07:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $1.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 5, 02:13 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 26, 07:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".