Fabulous-Stage
0xc2c19233bb9f324335f12571da348c287eadb26d
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
26
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-88.59
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 26- YES
Will the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on July 17?
209 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.67
- NO
Will the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on May 26?
147 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$0.00
$-2.79
- YES
Will Ethena dip to $0.08 in March?
131 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.57
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 21?
127 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-3.95
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - January 30, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET
118 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.94
- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $1.10 and $1.20 on July 1?
102 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.45
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 25, 5AM ET
99 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.19
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $84,000 on January 26?
95 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$0.00
$-2.19
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down on January 22?
95 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$0.00
$-3.60
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 27, 10PM ET
93 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-7.45
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on July 17?$1.79Jul 16, 22:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.10 and $1.20 on July 1?$2.62Jun 30, 19:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on June 4?$235.60Jun 4, 18:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on June 4?$0.60Jun 4, 01:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on June 4?$233.59Jun 3, 23:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on May 26?$2.98May 25, 21:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 25?$2.03May 24, 18:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on May 24?$206.69May 24, 18:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $90 on May 25?$2.76May 24, 17:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on May 24?$0.22May 23, 21:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on May 24?$202.96May 23, 19:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on May 22?$2.52May 21, 21:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on April 15?$197.14May 16, 08:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 10?$2.32May 10, 01:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be between $1.50 and $1.60 on April 28?$221.20May 10, 01:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.50 and $1.60 on April 28?$219.87Apr 28, 04:43 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - April 27, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET$212.04Apr 27, 08:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - April 27, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET$209.07Apr 27, 06:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on April 19?$3.62Apr 19, 00:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $1.40 on April 11?$0.00Apr 19, 00:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
31 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 55/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $75.15
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 31, 00:47 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 16, 22:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.