Uniform-Consumption
0xc2c40be52217c95e7404f21877d716bcba188d35
Wallet digest
Activity score
80/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$21.16
Total PnL
$0.56
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2025?
7 shares @ 94.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$6.98
$0.38
- NO
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by July 31?
6 shares @ 98.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$6.07
$0.07
- NO
Will Manfred Reyes Villa win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?
5 shares @ 98.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 19, 2025$5.10
$0.10
- NO
Tom Brady and Sydney Sweeney confirmed relationship before August?
3 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$3.01
$0.01
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYTom Brady and Sydney Sweeney confirmed relationship before August?$3.00Jul 23, 08:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by July 31?$6.00Jul 23, 08:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manfred Reyes Villa win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?$5.00Jul 23, 08:51 UTC
- REDEEMFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after June 2025 meeting?$5.72Jul 23, 08:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill DeepSeek have the top AI model on June 30?$8.91Jul 23, 08:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after June 2025 meeting?$5.70May 25, 06:20 UTC
- REDEEMFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after May 2025 meeting?$6.58May 25, 06:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after May 2025 meeting?$6.55Mar 27, 05:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2025?$6.60Mar 27, 05:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DeepSeek have the top AI model on June 30?$8.40Mar 27, 05:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum hit $6,000 by January 31, 2025?$2.01Mar 27, 05:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill SPD win the most seats in the next German election?$7.02Mar 27, 05:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the top AI model on January 31?$8.02Mar 27, 04:59 UTC
- TRADESELLNottingham Forest wins the Premier League?$8.61Jan 29, 08:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the top AI model on January 31?$8.00Jan 21, 17:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum hit $6,000 by January 31, 2025?$2.00Jan 21, 17:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SPD win the most seats in the next German election?$7.00Jan 21, 17:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $90,000 in December?$0.00Jan 21, 17:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $90,000 in December?$1.22Jan 21, 17:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Saints win Super Bowl 2025?$6.67Jan 21, 16:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
33 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 57/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $13.12
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 22, 07:42 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 23, 08:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.