Guilty-Democrat
0xc2caa123ad5397f3fd0d484cc766de902ae20cd8
Wallet digest
Activity score
93/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
2
Open notional
$10.16
Total PnL
$3.96
Realised
$2.40
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYU.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by December 31?$5.00Sep 30, 08:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Solana reach $400 before 2026?$106.80Sep 27, 15:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $400 before 2026?$108.00Aug 12, 08:43 UTC
- REDEEMUS-Iran nuclear deal before August?$109.76Aug 12, 08:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal before August?$108.00Jul 15, 13:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump visit Greenland before July?$104.73Jul 15, 13:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit Greenland before July?$104.00Jun 6, 13:20 UTC
- REDEEMPoilievre resigns as leader of Conservatives before June?$0.00Jun 6, 13:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Canada raise tariffs on the U.S. before June?$102.41Jun 6, 13:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYPoilievre resigns as leader of Conservatives before June?$4.50May 31, 11:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Canada raise tariffs on the U.S. before June?$101.80May 31, 08:23 UTC
- REDEEMJordan Spieth Grand Slam?$108.66May 31, 08:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYJordan Spieth Grand Slam?$108.00May 15, 19:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be less than $1500 on May 9?$101.90May 15, 19:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be less than $1500 on May 9?$101.29May 8, 11:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon tweet 125–149 times April 25–May 2?$106.38May 8, 11:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 125–149 times April 25–May 2?$105.00May 1, 18:04 UTC
- REDEEMTrump declassifies 9/11 files in first 100 days?$107.00May 1, 18:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump declassifies 9/11 files in first 100 days?$105.93Apr 24, 12:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be between 66-67°F on April 17?$106.00Apr 24, 12:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $55.31
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 13, 15:25 UTC
- Last active
- Sep 30, 08:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.