Square-Buffet
0xc2d295f613f39e29d77024dc8e84bebb4de11615
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$13.65
Total PnL
$-4.2K
Realised
$201.62
Win rate
48%
63 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $300 end of July?
374 shares @ 8.0¢·now 1.6¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$5.80
$-24.14
- YES
Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $192 in July?
376 shares @ 1.3¢·now 1.3¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$4.70
$-0.06
- YES
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $690 in July?
300 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.7¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$2.10
$-0.90
- YES
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $420 in July?
534 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$0.27
$-10.84
- YES
Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $184 in July?
506 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.1¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$0.25
$-1.27
- YES
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $285 in July?
445 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$0.22
$-8.97
- YES
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $440 in July?
331 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$0.17
$-10.55
- YES
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $280 in July?
268 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.1¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$0.13
$-4.56
- NO
Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $248 Week of June 1 2026?
12150 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$0.00
$-90.35
- YES
Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $98 Week of June 8 2026?
2219 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 12, 2026$0.00
$-46.85
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $256 in July?$0.07Jul 29, 00:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 in July?$18.00Jul 28, 22:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $280 in July?$0.27Jul 28, 22:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $222 in July?$0.75Jul 28, 22:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX (SPCX) close above $130 end of July?$0.50Jul 28, 21:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $110 Week of July 27 2026?$1.16Jul 28, 21:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $330 in July?$1.00Jul 28, 20:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $500 in July?$2.75Jul 28, 19:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $110 Week of July 27 2026?$0.25Jul 28, 18:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $440 in July?$0.09Jul 28, 17:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $270 in July?$1.24Jul 28, 16:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Amazon (AMZN) close above $190 end of July?$0.05Jul 28, 15:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX (SPCX) close above $130 end of July?$0.05Jul 28, 15:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX (SPCX) close above $160 end of July?$0.25Jul 28, 15:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $160 in July?$0.69Jul 28, 14:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $160 in July?$0.69Jul 28, 14:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $160 in July?$0.77Jul 28, 14:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google (GOOGL) close above $340 end of July?$0.09Jul 28, 14:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $300 in July?$0.10Jul 28, 14:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $440 in July?$0.00Jul 28, 14:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
52/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
48% win rate over 63 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 33/100.
63 closed markets, 48% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.99
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 22, 14:05 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 00:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 63 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.