Unique-Pate
0xc2e0fed6cb83b4aa1fc87938504a05d1472b5a1b
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
200
Open notional
$64.11
Total PnL
$-4.0K
Realised
$-0.51
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Jude Bellingham win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
187 shares @ 2.3¢·now 18.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$34.56
$30.34
- YES
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%?
322 shares @ 7.9¢·now 2.9¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$9.51
$-16.09
- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
197 shares @ 19.8¢·now 4.0¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$7.88
$-31.12
- YES
Will Romeu Zema finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
99 shares @ 35.5¢·now 5.3¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$5.28
$-29.72
- YES
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
470 shares @ 5.3¢·now 0.9¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$4.00
$-21.00
- YES
Will Fernando Haddad finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
244 shares @ 5.7¢·now 0.6¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$1.46
$-12.54
- YES
Will Neymar win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1342 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.67
$-9.33
- YES
Will Bukayo Saka win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.56
$-9.44
- YES
Will Vinícius Jr. win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
399 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.20
$-14.80
- MAGDA LINETTE
Roland Garros WTA: Magda Linette vs Iga Swiatek
4133 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$0.00
$-12.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jul 12, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 11, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 10, 00:11 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$2.79Jul 9, 21:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 9, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 8, 00:25 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 7, 00:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Neymar Jr. score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$212.61Jul 6, 00:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$24.01Jul 3, 01:44 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 3, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 2, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWimbledon WTA: Belinda Bencic vs Xinyu Wang AND Wimbledon ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Busta AND Brasov: Stefan Palosi vs Zsombor Piros AND Cary: Liam Broady vs Jack Kennedy AND Milan: Facundo Acosta vs Daniele Rapagnetta$4.90Jul 1, 14:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWimbledon ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Dino Prizmic$4.88Jul 1, 14:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico win on 2026-06-30? AND Will Portugal vs. Croatia end in a draw? AND Will United States win on 2026-07-01? AND Will England win on 2026-07-01? AND Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01? AND Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?$2.40Jul 1, 00:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Mexico 2 - 3 Ecuador?$1.03Jul 1, 00:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Mexico 1 - 3 Ecuador?$1.03Jul 1, 00:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Mexico 0 - 2 Ecuador?$2.06Jul 1, 00:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Mexico 1 - 2 Ecuador?$3.09Jul 1, 00:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Mexico 0 - 1 Ecuador?$5.13Jul 1, 00:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal vs. Croatia end in a draw? AND Will United States win on 2026-07-01? AND Will England win on 2026-07-01? AND Will Belgium vs. Senegal end in a draw? AND Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?$2.00Jul 1, 00:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
37 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 60/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $5.54
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 30, 16:23 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 12, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.