Reasonable-Conduct
0xc2fc33feec43dc5477df1ccc1f5ce7ce4fefa355
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$11.37
Total PnL
$-3.03
Realised
$-0.28
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Bournemouth win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
6 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$6.14
$0.02
- NO
Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?
2 shares @ 99.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$2.02
$0.02
- NO
Will RFK end Measles Mumps and Rubella vaccine recommendation in 2025?
1 shares @ 88.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.14
$0.14
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?
1 shares @ 93.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 5, 2025$1.07
$0.07
- NO
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
1 shares @ 96.6¢·now 97.2¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.01
$0.01
- YES
Will Paulo Portas win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $128,000 October 13-19?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 20, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$1.00Dec 4, 15:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?$1.00Dec 4, 15:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Arizona Cardinals win Super Bowl 2026?$1.01Dec 4, 14:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paulo Portas win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$2.00Nov 29, 13:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$10.77Nov 29, 13:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$5.44Nov 29, 13:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $128,000 October 13-19?$1.00Oct 20, 06:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ahmed al-Sharaa be the first leader out in 2025?$219.78Oct 20, 06:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ahmed al-Sharaa be the first leader out in 2025?$220.00Oct 19, 02:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$268.92Oct 19, 02:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$280.00Oct 19, 02:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $104,000 on September 29?$1.01Oct 19, 02:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$259.74Oct 19, 02:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$260.00Oct 19, 02:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bournemouth win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$278.60Oct 19, 02:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bournemouth win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$285.00Oct 19, 02:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$5.00Oct 19, 02:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $104,000 on September 29?$1.00Sep 28, 05:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?$2.00Sep 28, 05:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Conservative Party win the Canadian election by over 12%?$1.00Sep 28, 05:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $66.12
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 31, 04:08 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 4, 15:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.