Vivacious-Dew
0xc2fe5837f83c45a89cd452b57f44c628d1647a57
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$279.74
Total PnL
$-55.04
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025?
120 shares @ 83.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$120.48
$20.48
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?
37 shares @ 68.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$36.76
$11.76
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
33 shares @ 75.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$33.33
$8.33
- NO
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025?
33 shares @ 76.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$32.89
$7.89
- NO
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia in 2025?
31 shares @ 80.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$31.25
$6.25
- NO
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before July?
15 shares @ 67.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$14.93
$4.93
- NO
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?
10 shares @ 87.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$10.09
$1.31
- NO
Pakistan military strike on India by Friday?
188 shares @ 11.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 9, 2025$0.00
$-21.00
- YES
Will Pierbattista Pizzaballa be the next pope?
138 shares @ 7.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the next Pope be from Europe?
83 shares @ 60.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUkraine signs peace deal with Russia in 2025?$25.00Aug 29, 07:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025?$25.00Aug 29, 07:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$25.00Aug 29, 07:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?$20.00Jun 15, 17:39 UTC
- REDEEMIran strike on Israel by Friday?$32.78Jun 15, 17:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Pietro Parolin be the next pope?$27.78Jun 13, 18:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill the next Pope be from Asia?$50.63Jun 13, 18:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran strike on Israel by Friday?$18.29Jun 13, 10:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYPakistan military strike on India by Friday?$3.00May 8, 12:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYPakistan military strike on India by Friday?$3.00May 7, 19:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire before July?$10.00May 7, 13:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYPakistan military strike on India by Friday?$15.00May 7, 13:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYNuclear weapon detonation in 2025?$100.00May 7, 12:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYJerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?$8.78Apr 25, 10:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?$25.00Apr 25, 06:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pietro Parolin be the next pope?$20.00Apr 25, 06:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal win on 2025-04-29?$15.00Apr 24, 08:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Pope be from Asia?$40.00Apr 24, 07:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Pope be from Europe?$50.00Apr 24, 07:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pierbattista Pizzaballa be the next pope?$10.00Apr 24, 07:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 17
- Avg trade size
- $24.30
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 24, 07:39 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 29, 07:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.