Wallet digest

active

Activity score

70/100

Performance measurable

Open positions

200

Open notional

$0.00

Total PnL

$-1.2K

Realised

$38.71

Win rate

100%

14 closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

showing 10 of 200

UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET
1021 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026
$0.00
$-5.00
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET
868 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2026
$0.00
$-16.33
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET
524 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026
$0.00
$-13.99
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET
500 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026
$0.00
$-6.00
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET
484 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2026
$0.00
$-12.99
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET
400 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2026
$0.00
$-4.00
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET
358 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2026
$0.00
$-9.08
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET
342 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2026
$0.00
$-7.00
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET
335 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026
$0.00
$-19.97
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET
331 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026
$0.00
$-12.99

Recent activity

TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026?$6.00May 4, 17:06 UTC
TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$8.22May 4, 17:06 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET$1.78Apr 22, 14:53 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET$1.00Mar 27, 02:40 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET$1.00Mar 27, 02:39 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET$1.00Mar 27, 02:39 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET$1.00Mar 27, 02:38 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET$2.00Mar 27, 02:37 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET$0.99Mar 27, 02:35 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET$1.00Mar 27, 02:31 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET$1.00Mar 27, 02:27 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET$1.00Mar 27, 02:26 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET$1.00Mar 27, 02:26 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET$1.00Mar 27, 02:26 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET$1.00Mar 27, 02:25 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET$1.00Mar 27, 02:21 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET$1.00Mar 27, 02:20 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET$1.00Mar 27, 02:20 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET$1.00Mar 27, 02:20 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET$1.00Mar 27, 02:18 UTC

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

No trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$0.00

0 trades

Buy share

50%

Sample

low

0 ledger trades

No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.

Profile dimensions

Activity42 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence47 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry0 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk34 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time): 48
Avg trade size: $1.76
Top category: —
Category concentration: 0%
First seen: Mar 25, 02:28 UTC
Last active: May 4, 17:06 UTC
Win rate sample: 14 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.

View on Polymarket View on Polygonscan

updated 12:32:16 UTC·src:Polymarket Data