Stable-Complicity
0xc300aa6af0507ee3954e71a950bf69be6eaa5a55
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
37
Open notional
$0.45
Total PnL
$-114.16
Realised
$9.72
Win rate
100%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 37- YES
Netanyahu out by June 30?
20 shares @ 17.0¢·now 2.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.45
$-2.95
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?
600 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - February 3, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET
493 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2026$0.00
$-7.50
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET
400 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 19, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?
340 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.02
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?
318 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2026$0.00
$-0.64
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?
260 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.04
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET
205 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2026$0.00
$-5.65
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on May 30?$10.00Jun 1, 09:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 18°C on May 30?$2.91May 29, 16:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on May 30?$5.82May 29, 16:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by June 30?$3.40Mar 17, 08:36 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET$5.16Feb 24, 14:22 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET$25.71Feb 24, 14:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET$4.80Feb 24, 14:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET$4.80Feb 24, 14:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET$1.85Feb 24, 14:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET$1.30Feb 24, 14:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET$4.10Feb 24, 14:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET$1.10Feb 24, 14:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET$4.15Feb 24, 14:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET$4.75Feb 24, 14:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET$1.15Feb 24, 14:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET$3.70Feb 24, 14:11 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET$5.28Feb 24, 10:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET$4.20Feb 24, 10:23 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET$0.00Feb 24, 10:22 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET$35.89Feb 24, 10:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $3.70
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 21, 21:18 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 1, 09:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".