Flawed-Density
0xc3035e76e384a1a03d3ed6710caed73045a805c5
Wallet digest
Activity score
76/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$33.97
Total PnL
$-2.32
Realised
$-4.37
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- UNDER
England vs. Argentina: Argentina 1st Half O/U 1.5
20 shares @ 93.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$20.00
$1.40
- NO
Exact Score: Norway 1 - 0 England?
12 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$12.00
$0.60
- NO
Will Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?
1 shares @ 90.7¢·now 97.4¢·exp Jan 25, 2027$0.97
$0.07
- NO
Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
1 shares @ 95.0¢·now 95.3¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$0.95
$0.00
- YES
Will San Jose Earthquakes win the 2026 MLS Cup?
1 shares @ 6.0¢·now 4.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2026$0.04
$-0.02
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYEngland vs. Argentina: Argentina 1st Half O/U 1.5$18.67Jul 15, 01:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Norway 1 - 0 England?$11.43Jul 11, 07:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$1.00Jul 11, 01:53 UTC
- REDEEMParaguay vs. France: France O/U 0.5$14.00Jul 11, 01:53 UTC
- REDEEMSouth Africa vs. Canada: Neither team to score first?$17.00Jul 11, 01:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYParaguay vs. France: France O/U 0.5$13.18Jul 4, 12:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYSouth Africa vs. Canada: Neither team to score first?$15.68Jun 28, 05:27 UTC
- REDEEMBrazil vs. Haiti: Haiti O/U 1.5$15.00Jun 28, 01:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBrazil vs. Haiti: Haiti O/U 1.5$13.69Jun 19, 10:56 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Spurs (-16.5)$19.00Jun 19, 05:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Spurs (-16.5)$17.34Jun 10, 04:33 UTC
- REDEEMSpain vs. Iraq: O/U 1.5$11.00Jun 10, 03:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Iraq: O/U 1.5$10.14Jun 4, 02:04 UTC
- REDEEMBarcelona SC leading at halftime?$13.00Jun 4, 01:54 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Red Bull Bragantino (-1.5)$21.00Jun 4, 01:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBarcelona SC leading at halftime?$12.12May 28, 04:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Red Bull Bragantino (-1.5)$18.96May 20, 12:01 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Petrojet SC (-2.5)$15.96May 20, 06:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Al Hazem SC win on 2026-05-14?$17.00May 20, 06:16 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: ZED FC (-2.5)$19.96May 20, 06:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
38 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 73/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $220.01
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 20, 23:55 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 15, 01:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.