Heavy-Defendant
0xc3155f83f8d531811d45ba9658e17fa3f07690b0
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$183.79
Total PnL
$-853.31
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by December 31?
184 shares @ 98.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$183.79
$3.68
- YES
Will Trump be impeached in 2025?
8333 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-499.99
- NO
Trump approval >40% on July 1?
3369 shares @ 5.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2025$0.00
$-200.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk's net worth be less than $350b on June 30?
119 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Musk out as Tesla CEO in 2025?
111 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk's net worth be between $350b and $360b on June 30?
103 shares @ 24.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
US recession in 2025?
76 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-22.00
- YES
US x Iran nuclear talks resume before July?
76 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-25.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down on June 18?
48 shares @ 42.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Trump x Putin talk before July?
36 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by December 31?$180.11Dec 26, 19:48 UTC
- REDEEMTrump x Epstein files made public in 2025?$178.57Dec 26, 19:34 UTC
- REDEEMTrump Mobile smartphone released before September?$0.00Dec 26, 19:33 UTC
- REDEEMElon no longer world's richest before August?$0.00Dec 26, 19:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS recession in 2025?$22.00Jun 18, 10:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk's net worth be less than $350b on June 30?$25.00Jun 18, 10:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk's net worth be between $350b and $360b on June 30?$25.00Jun 18, 10:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYElon no longer world's richest before August?$20.00Jun 18, 10:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYMusk out as Tesla CEO in 2025?$20.00Jun 18, 10:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down on June 18?$20.00Jun 18, 10:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump x Putin talk before July?$20.00Jun 18, 10:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran nuclear talks resume before July?$25.00Jun 18, 10:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump x Epstein files made public in 2025?$25.00Jun 18, 10:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump Mobile smartphone released before September?$50.00Jun 18, 10:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump approval >40% on July 1?$200.00Jun 18, 10:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump be impeached in 2025?$500.00Jun 18, 10:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 13
- Avg trade size
- $87.09
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 18, 10:07 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 26, 19:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".