Velvety-Beetle
0xc31d31a6ef2412a275dfba1c8cc2a14c2fa12ad4
Wallet digest
Activity score
35/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-370.87
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
75000 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-194.70
- NO
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?
3596 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$0.00
$-57.37
- NO
Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?
1632 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.63
- YES
Will Trump say "Great Wall" during events with Xi Jinping?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Shanghai" during events with Xi Jinping?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Farmer" during events with Xi Jinping?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Soybean" during events with Xi Jinping?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?
400 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?
316 shares @ 9.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-30.12
- YES
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?
283 shares @ 8.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-24.00
Recent activity
No activity on record.
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- —
- Last active
- —
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.