Threadbare-Surplus
0xc31ecc966ea0b2d58ff84412c4fa8b1d17681c6f
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
61
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-609.55
Realised
$3.42
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 61- YES
Will Jim Walden win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
4650 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-4.65
- YES
US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?
443 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.54
- YES
Will Sombr win Best New Artist at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?
173 shares @ 16.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-27.88
- NO
Will ZachXBT release his investigation on February 26?
172 shares @ 4.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
- YES
Will FC Kairat Almaty win on 2025-09-30?
148 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will another company be accused of insider trading?
91 shares @ 15.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-14.50
- YES
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?
83 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will Manchester United win on 2025-09-20?
77 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 20, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Over $20M committed to the Solomon public sale?
60 shares @ 15.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-9.12
- YES
Over $1.8B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
56 shares @ 72.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Axiom be accused of insider trading?$26.15Feb 26, 10:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ZachXBT release his investigation on February 26?$7.00Feb 26, 10:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill another company be accused of insider trading?$14.50Feb 26, 10:56 UTC
- REDEEMTrail Blazers vs. Suns$47.46Feb 23, 20:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrail Blazers vs. Suns$28.00Feb 22, 22:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYNuggets vs. Warriors$25.00Feb 22, 22:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-03?$10.00Feb 3, 18:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded this season?$63.19Feb 3, 11:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded this season?$21.09Jan 27, 08:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded this season?$8.40Jan 27, 08:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lauri Markkanen be traded this season?$7.82Jan 27, 07:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $15M committed to the Gensyn public sale?$12.18Dec 20, 13:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chelsea win on 2025-12-06?$2.98Dec 6, 14:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Stable launch a token in 2025?$2.79Dec 3, 10:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Stable launch a token in 2025?$33.48Dec 1, 09:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bryan Johnson say "Depression" while tripping balls?$13.04Dec 1, 07:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bryan Johnson say "Polymarket" while tripping balls?$14.29Dec 1, 07:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bryan Johnson say "Goth Girl" while tripping balls?$6.21Nov 30, 09:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bryan Johnson say "Goth Girl" while tripping balls?$4.44Nov 30, 08:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bryan Johnson say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" while tripping balls?$11.00Nov 30, 08:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $16.93
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 18, 13:14 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 26, 10:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".