Hasty-Lunge
0xc3233df08523b29911ca8bff0c97833a26cd4948
Wallet digest
Activity score
92/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$430.40
Total PnL
$22.60
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?
100 shares @ 94.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$100.00
$5.20
- NO
Trump out as President in 2025?
88 shares @ 97.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$87.81
$1.81
- NO
US forces in Yemen in 2025?
53 shares @ 94.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$52.97
$2.97
- NO
China x Taiwan military clash by December 31?
50 shares @ 99.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$50.33
$0.33
- YES
Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?
44 shares @ 90.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$44.45
$4.45
- NO
Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30?
37 shares @ 82.0¢·now 98.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$36.11
$6.11
- YES
Will Gold close at $3,200 or more at the end of 2025?
21 shares @ 95.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$20.96
$0.96
- NO
Will the US Government sell Bitcoin by December 31?
13 shares @ 98.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$13.25
$0.25
- NO
U.S. forces in Gaza in 2025?
10 shares @ 96.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$10.32
$0.32
- NO
China coup attempt in 2025?
6 shares @ 98.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$6.07
$0.07
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYChina x Taiwan military clash by December 31?$30.00Dec 30, 10:04 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$17.19Dec 30, 10:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?$30.00Dec 2, 10:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYChina x Taiwan military clash by December 31?$20.00Dec 2, 10:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President in 2025?$50.00Dec 2, 10:44 UTC
- REDEEMMaduro out by November 30, 2025?$65.22Dec 2, 10:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump meet with Xi Jinping in November?$81.14Dec 2, 10:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President in 2025?$6.00Nov 27, 09:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US Government sell Bitcoin by December 31?$13.00Nov 27, 09:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYChina coup attempt in 2025?$6.00Nov 26, 03:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$17.00Nov 26, 03:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. forces in Gaza in 2025?$10.00Nov 20, 10:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jia Yueting enter mainland China by December 31?$5.00Nov 20, 10:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President in 2025?$30.00Nov 16, 13:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump remove 10% blanket tariff in 2025?$51.61Nov 10, 04:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold close at $3,200 or more at the end of 2025?$20.00Nov 7, 07:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?$10.00Nov 7, 07:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYMamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30?$30.00Nov 6, 04:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,600 on November 5?$2.06Nov 6, 04:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Xi visit the US by December 31?$3.00Nov 5, 03:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $32.32
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 28, 05:41 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 30, 10:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.