Long-Icebreaker
0xc32669d1239e5b9f42e98f540246ea13e8ef23e2
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$2.11
Total PnL
$-2.7K
Realised
$131.34
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?
1 shares @ 92.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.09
$0.09
- NO
Google forced to sell Chrome?
1 shares @ 97.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2025$1.02
$0.02
- NO
Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?
60314 shares @ 4.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$0.00
$-2.8K
- YES
Will Jan van Aken be the next Chancellor of Germany?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Heidi Reichinnek be the next Chancellor of Germany?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the Democratic Alliance win the most seats in the 2025 Portuguese legislative election?
571 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Olaf Scholz be the next Chancellor of Germany?
422 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will Luís Montenegro be the next Prime Minister of Portugal after the 2025 election?
415 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Robert Habeck be the next Chancellor of Germany?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?
73 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-25.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?$25.50May 18, 16:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Alliance win the most seats in the 2025 Portuguese legislative election?$20.00May 18, 16:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luís Montenegro be the next Prime Minister of Portugal after the 2025 election?$20.00May 18, 16:09 UTC
- REDEEMYoon out as president of South Korea before May?$0.00May 6, 14:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYYoon out as president of South Korea before May?$423.15Apr 2, 22:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYYoon out as president of South Korea before May?$2.1KApr 1, 20:50 UTC
- REDEEMTrump declassifies JFK files in first 100 days?$0.00Mar 30, 18:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $82000 and $84000 on Mar 28?$0.00Mar 30, 18:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $86000 and $88000 on Mar 28?$0.00Mar 28, 22:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?$166.41Mar 28, 21:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?$166.41Mar 28, 21:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?$433.54Mar 28, 18:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $86000 and $88000 on Mar 28?$20.00Mar 28, 18:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $82000 and $84000 on Mar 28?$20.00Mar 28, 18:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Barcelona win La Liga?$473.55Mar 28, 18:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Barcelona win La Liga?$615.26Mar 17, 23:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?$20.00Mar 17, 23:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?$20.00Mar 17, 23:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?$100.00Mar 17, 23:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?$100.00Mar 17, 23:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $214.83
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 8, 00:02 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 16:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.