Organic-Arm
0xc33195627dddba1415d185fdfdc04fe0aa4b4eaf
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
38
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-281.33
Realised
$8.19
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 38- NO
Will Germany participate in Eurovision 2026?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be between 57-58°F on November 7?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will Austria participate in Eurovision 2026?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will voter turnout in the next New York City mayoral election be 36% or higher?
2951 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-2.95
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be between 55-56°F on November 7?
2098 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2025$0.00
$-2.10
- YES
Will voter turnout in the next New York City mayoral election be between 33–36%?
1434 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-1.43
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
1000 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will KATSEYE win Best New Artist at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?
946 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-0.95
- YES
Will The Marías win Best New Artist at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?
463 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-4.63
- YES
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" first during Saudi PM events on November 18?
453 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 18, 2025$0.00
$-4.53
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast say "Artem" or "Kaptur" during his next video?$0.10Mar 21, 16:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET$88.90Mar 13, 08:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET$0.90Feb 6, 00:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET$8.00Feb 6, 00:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill KATSEYE win Best New Artist at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?$0.12Feb 2, 01:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill KATSEYE win Best New Artist at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?$0.06Feb 2, 01:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill KATSEYE win Best New Artist at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?$0.02Feb 2, 01:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill KATSEYE win Best New Artist at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?$0.01Feb 2, 01:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill KATSEYE win Best New Artist at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?$0.01Feb 2, 01:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill KATSEYE win Best New Artist at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?$0.01Feb 2, 01:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill KATSEYE win Best New Artist at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?$0.01Feb 2, 01:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill KATSEYE win Best New Artist at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?$0.01Feb 2, 01:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill KATSEYE win Best New Artist at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?$0.05Feb 2, 01:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill KATSEYE win Best New Artist at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?$0.03Feb 2, 01:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill KATSEYE win Best New Artist at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?$0.03Feb 2, 01:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill KATSEYE win Best New Artist at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?$0.07Feb 2, 01:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill KATSEYE win Best New Artist at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?$0.07Feb 2, 01:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill KATSEYE win Best New Artist at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?$0.09Feb 2, 01:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill KATSEYE win Best New Artist at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?$0.04Feb 2, 01:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill KATSEYE win Best New Artist at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?$0.03Feb 2, 01:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $15.98
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 1, 04:39 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 21, 16:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".