Arctic-Vanadyl
0xc33d6aa3eb972639f31e46a6a02201cece380d40
Wallet digest
Activity score
85/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$4.6K
Total PnL
$-16.6K
Realised
$747.13
Win rate
76%
91 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will "The Witness" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?
855 shares @ 43.5¢·now 94.4¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$806.99
$435.08
- NO
Will Warsh say "Trump" during June Press Conference?
740 shares @ 81.8¢·now 81.5¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$603.03
$-1.97
- NO
Will Senegal be the furthest advancing CAF nation at the World Cup?
531 shares @ 79.0¢·now 81.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$432.91
$13.16
- NO
Will Morocco be the furthest advancing CAF nation at the World Cup?
670 shares @ 64.1¢·now 53.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$358.45
$-71.36
- NO
Will one person dissent the June Fed decision?
366 shares @ 83.0¢·now 79.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$289.32
$-14.83
- NO
Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
269 shares @ 92.9¢·now 93.2¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$250.69
$0.74
- NO
Will Netherlands be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?
238 shares @ 90.4¢·now 93.5¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$222.53
$7.43
- YES
Will Cameron Boozer be the 3rd overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?
400 shares @ 33.4¢·now 50.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$200.25
$66.56
- NO
Will Japan reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
160 shares @ 93.2¢·now 95.2¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$152.47
$3.14
- NO
Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
180 shares @ 75.2¢·now 76.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$137.70
$2.30
Recent activity
- MAKER_REBATE$4.78Jun 14, 00:45 UTC
- REWARD$9.28Jun 14, 00:00 UTC
- MERGEWill Morocco be the furthest advancing CAF nation at the World Cup?$12.00Jun 13, 23:57 UTC
- REDEEMRainbow Six Siege: LOS vs FURIA Esports (BO1) - South America League Stage 1 Group Stage$20.15Jun 13, 23:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?$27.03Jun 13, 23:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?$37.28Jun 13, 23:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?$37.28Jun 13, 23:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?$37.28Jun 13, 23:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?$37.28Jun 13, 23:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?$37.28Jun 13, 23:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kevin Yu finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 RBC Canadian Open?$0.03Jun 13, 23:31 UTC
- REDEEMTexas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox$91.82Jun 13, 23:21 UTC
- REDEEMSeattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals$19.41Jun 13, 23:20 UTC
- REDEEMMiami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates$282.25Jun 13, 23:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netherlands be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?$1.60Jun 13, 23:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYMiami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates$0.65Jun 13, 23:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYMiami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates$0.22Jun 13, 23:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYMiami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates$0.39Jun 13, 23:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYMiami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates$0.70Jun 13, 23:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYMiami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates$6.40Jun 13, 22:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $13.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 13, 22:32 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 91 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.