Obvious-Fitness
0xc3464d7d1ddf1fe13d1b2a0fe9e81a12c417e4e7
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
31
Open notional
$328.35
Total PnL
$-97.07
Realised
$-0.71
Win rate
33%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 31- NO
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
150 shares @ 97.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$150.00
$3.45
- YES
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
86 shares @ 91.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$86.00
$7.05
- SYRACUSE ORANGE
Saint Joseph's Hawks vs. Syracuse Orange
37 shares @ 49.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 22, 2025$37.00
$18.87
- NO
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 18?
19 shares @ 66.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 18, 2026$19.00
$6.46
- NO
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 17, 2026?
14 shares @ 48.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$14.00
$7.28
- NO
Will India strike Pakistan by March 31?
5 shares @ 83.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$5.00
$0.85
- YES
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 15, 2026?
4 shares @ 52.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$4.00
$1.92
- YES
Will the total number of TSA passengers for January 14 be greater than 1,900,000?
3 shares @ 37.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 14, 2026$3.00
$1.89
- NO
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by June 30?
2 shares @ 39.0¢·now 95.2¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$2.08
$1.23
- NO
Will DoorDash report between 875 million and 900 million total orders in Q4 2025?
2 shares @ 73.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$2.00
$0.54
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill "Denmark" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?$0.60Jan 15, 22:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Denmark" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?$0.72Jan 15, 22:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Denmark" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?$0.78Jan 15, 22:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Denmark" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?$0.30Jan 15, 22:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 60% and 65%?$5.62Jan 15, 22:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Denmark" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?$35.20Jan 15, 21:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 60% and 65%?$7.19Jan 15, 21:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Google Gemini 3 score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?$9.57Jan 15, 21:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Google Gemini 3 score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?$12.18Jan 15, 21:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google Gemini 3 score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?$22.62Jan 15, 20:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Amanda Edwards win TX-18 Special Election?$8.10Jan 15, 20:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Amanda Edwards win TX-18 Special Election?$8.10Jan 15, 20:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Amanda Edwards win TX-18 Special Election?$8.91Jan 15, 20:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Amanda Edwards win TX-18 Special Election?$10.53Jan 15, 20:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Amanda Edwards win TX-18 Special Election?$4.86Jan 15, 20:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill global temperature increase by less than 1.00ºC in January 2026?$4.34Jan 15, 19:16 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by June 30?$2.34Jan 15, 15:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill António José Seguro win the first round?$30.51Jan 15, 13:19 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by June 30?$3.12Jan 15, 12:46 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by June 30?$6.56Jan 15, 12:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $8.05
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 14, 19:13 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 15, 22:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.