Thrifty-Original
0xc34f6b088bb9172625ee1ea2ee8da9ac4f037d2e
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.59
Total PnL
$-23.2K
Realised
$-728.07
Win rate
41%
71 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 29?
620 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$0.31
$-19.82
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 29?
566 shares @ 13.9¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$0.28
$-78.26
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 34°C or higher on July 12?
868 shares @ 68.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$0.00
$-592.72
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 13?
844 shares @ 69.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2026$0.00
$-587.79
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on July 14?
787 shares @ 64.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$0.00
$-506.77
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on June 25?
621 shares @ 6.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.00
$-42.44
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on July 13?
602 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2026$0.00
$-19.94
- NO
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on July 11?
595 shares @ 77.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$0.00
$-459.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on June 22?
589 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$0.00
$-18.34
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 14?
578 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$0.00
$-312.24
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 38°C on July 29?$5.16Jul 29, 05:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Busan be 38°C on July 29?$2.09Jul 29, 05:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Busan be 37°C on July 29?$2.63Jul 29, 05:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Busan be 37°C on July 29?$4.87Jul 29, 05:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Busan be 37°C on July 29?$3.20Jul 29, 05:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Busan be 37°C on July 29?$5.20Jul 29, 05:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Busan be 37°C on July 29?$7.30Jul 29, 05:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Busan be 37°C on July 29?$6.40Jul 29, 05:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Busan be 37°C on July 29?$1.61Jul 29, 05:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Busan be 38°C on July 29?$5.70Jul 29, 05:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Busan be 37°C on July 29?$7.10Jul 29, 05:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Busan be 38°C on July 29?$4.80Jul 29, 05:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on July 29?$1.30Jul 29, 05:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on July 29?$0.69Jul 29, 05:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on July 29?$4.90Jul 29, 05:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on July 29?$0.04Jul 29, 05:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on July 29?$2.66Jul 29, 05:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on July 29?$3.40Jul 29, 05:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on July 29?$3.30Jul 29, 05:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on July 29?$3.40Jul 29, 05:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
57/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
41% win rate over 71 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 38/100.
71 closed markets, 41% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $3.49
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 29, 05:15 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 05:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 71 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.