0xc35d9b9156ab21fac1e5a3ba9584b20dadccd869
0xc35d9b9156ab21fac1e5a3ba9584b20dadccd869
Wallet digest
Activity score
37/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
23
Open notional
$1.17
Total PnL
$-58.86
Realised
$13.43
Win rate
9%
11 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - August 19, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET
1 shares @ 39.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 19, 2026$1.17
$0.72
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 12AM ET
1393 shares @ 0.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$0.00
- YES
Will France win on 2026-07-14?
404 shares @ 6.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$0.00
$-25.42
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - August 19, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET
68 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 19, 2026$0.00
$-20.28
- YES
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15?
49 shares @ 0.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$0.00
- NO
Will Solana reach $85 on April 11?
40 shares @ 0.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$0.00
- YES
Will Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?
37 shares @ 23.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$0.00
$-8.56
- YES
Will Max Verstappen get pole position at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?
28 shares @ 7.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$0.00
$-2.13
- YES
Exact Score: Norway 0 - 1 France?
18 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- UP
Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 24, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET
15 shares @ 0.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$0.00
$0.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - August 19, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET$26.41Aug 19, 16:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 19, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET$0.01Aug 19, 15:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 19, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET$4.51Aug 19, 15:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 19, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET$8.16Aug 19, 15:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 19, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET$3.60Aug 19, 15:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 19, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET$0.01Aug 19, 15:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 19, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET$16.67Aug 19, 15:48 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - August 19, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET$7.67Aug 19, 15:44 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - August 19, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET$25.88Aug 19, 15:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 19, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET$3.13Aug 19, 15:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 19, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET$11.12Aug 19, 15:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-07-14?$1.52Jul 14, 20:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-07-14?$24.92Jul 14, 19:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the announcers say "Penalty Shootout" during the France vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?$1.54Jul 14, 19:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Norway win on 2026-07-11?$23.65Jul 11, 22:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win on 2026-07-11?$14.03Jul 11, 21:50 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 24, 00:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill England win on 2026-06-23?$3.11Jun 23, 21:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win on 2026-06-23?$5.14Jun 23, 21:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill England win on 2026-06-23?$18.71Jun 23, 21:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
26/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
9% win rate over 11 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 63/100.
11 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $9.63
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 12, 09:19 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 19, 16:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 11 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.